KU v. Oregon State Preview

Coach: Craig Robinson
Conference: Pac - 12
2012-13 Record: 4-1

Starters


#3 Ahmad Starks, 5'9 Junior point guard
14.6 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.4 spg, 2 to/game, 36.9% fg, 68.4% ft, 34.3% 3pt
Starks is a scoring point guard with great speed and quickness. He is a very streaky 3pt shooter and he will shoot the ‘3’ off of the pick and roll or attacking off the dribble. Starks can score on all three levels but is better at attacking the rim when going to his left. His shot selection can leave something to be desired at times, explaining how his shooting percentage is sitting at 36.9% on the season. The Kansas guards must make sure that they keep Starks in front of them and force him to shoot contested perimeter shots.
#55 Roberto Nelson, 6'3 Junior shooting guard
10.8 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 2.4 apg, 0.8 spg, 2 to/game, 40.4% fg, 60% ft, 36.8% 3pt
A powerful guard with great strength, Nelson finished last season in very strong fashion and is off to a strong start this year. He has improved as a perimeter shooter and also uses his strength to get to the basket. Nelson will take smaller guards into the post and can get to the hoop with either hand. While he can create offense for himself and his teammates, Nelson can be turnover prone.
#44 Devon Collier, 6'7 Junior power forward
13.8 ppg, 7 rpg, 2.4 apg, 0.6 spg, 1.2 bpg, 2.4 to/game, 53.8% fg, 73% ft
Collier has got off to a good start this year, averaging 13.8 points per contest. He isn’t a player that possesses much range from the perimeter but is capable of scoring both off the dribble and in the post. The lefty wants to score over his right shoulder with his back to the basket but can face up in the low post as well, looking to operate off the dribble. He is strong hand dominant and likes to spin when putting the ball on the floor with his right hand. Collier has attempted 7.4 free throws per contest this year and is knocking those down at a 73% rate. Kansas must force Collier to shoot contested perimeter jumpers, keep him from scoring 2nd chance points, and keep him out of the paint.
#15 Eric Moreland, 6'10 Sophomore small forward
8.4 ppg, 10.4 rpg, 1.4 apg, 0.6 spg, 2.4 bpg, 1.6 to/game, 60.7% fg, 58.3% ft
Moreland is a hard worker and has been very productive so far this season especially with his rebounding and shot blocking ability. The sophomore averages three offensive rebounds per game and leads the team in blocked shots, averaging 2.4. Offensively, Moreland likes to spin when he puts the ball on the floor with his right hand and will face up once he catches in the post. He has range out to the 3pt line but is a very average shooter. Kansas must keep Moreland from hurting them on the offensive glass and must be very physical with him
#11 Joe Burton, 6'7 Senior power forward
11.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 2.6 apg, 0.8 spg, 3.4 to/game, 59.5% fg, 80% ft
A wide bodied post player at 295lbs, Burton is a skilled player and an outstanding passer who has averaged 2.6 assists per game on the season. However, due to some poor decisions with the basketball, he has been turnover prone, with an assist to turnover ratio of 0.76:1. Burton is a good offensive rebounder and can operate in the low post or on the perimeter off the dribble. When Burton puts the ball down on the perimeter he wants to change speeds and spin to get to the rim. In the low post Burton struggles against longer post players due to his lack of height and athleticism. His “go-to” move in the post is a dribble drop. The Jayhawk post players defending Burton must use their hands to make it difficult for him to finish shots inside and to prevent easy passing lanes on the perimeter.

Substitutes


#1 Victor Robbins, 6'6 Freshman small forward
1.7 ppg, 0.7 rpg, 0.3 spg, 1.7 to/game, 100% fg, 50% ft, 22.2% 3pt
Robbins is a solid athlete with good skills who averages six minutes per game. He is wired to score the ball but is at his best attacking the basket or scoring in the mid-range. Robbins lacks range on his jump shot and can struggle when facing smaller, quicker defenders. Defensively, he struggles both on and off the ball with his positioning and focus
#13 Langston Morris-Walker, 6'5 Freshman small forward
1.7 ppg, 1 rpg, 0.3 apg, 0.3 to/game, 40% fg, 50% ft
Morris-Walker is a very strong, explosive player who is beginning to build upon his skill level. He is at his best using his length to attack the basket on straight line drives but he also rebounds his position very well and defends at a high level. Morris-Walker struggles as a perimeter shooter and the Jayhawks must keep him out of the lane.
#32 Jarmal Reid, 6'7 Freshman power forward
1.2 ppg, 1 rpg, 0.6 spg, 0.4 bpg, 33.3% fg, 66.7% ft
Reid is a power player who is capable of stepping out and knocking down the perimeter shot. Offensively he is not very active but has proven to be a solid rebounder in his limited minutes on the season. Reid can be pressured into turnovers as he lacks the ball skills needed to beat people off the dribble. Reid is an average athlete who can be beaten off the dribble by quicker defenders.
#30 Olaf Schaftenaar, 6'9 Freshman power forward
4.5 ppg, 1 rpg, 0.5 apg, 1.5 bpg, 0.5 to/game, 33.3% fg, 33.3% 3pt
Schaftenaar hasn’t seen much action this season but will likely see more time due to the injury to Angus Brandt. The freshman is a dangerous perimeter shooter who has attempted all nine of his field goal attempts from beyond the arc. He lacks strength but is a capable shot blocker. The Kansas post players must be physical with him and keep him from getting uncontested looks from beyond the arc.
#4 Challe Barton, 6'3 Sophomore combo guard
2.2 ppg, 0.6 rpg, 2 apg, 0.8 spg, 1 to/game, 66.7% fg, 50% ft, 100% 3pt
Barton provides quality minutes off the bench at both guard spots and is averaging nearly 14 minutes of action per game. He is a capable scorer with solid vision. Barton struggles as a perimeter shooter (1-1 from 3pt range on the year) and is very right hand dominant when he puts the ball on the floor. Expect the Kansas guards to pressure Barton on the perimeter which will give him problems.

Strengths


Rebounding
The Beavers have a very long and active front line and have a rebounding margin of +9.2. On the season they are averaging 13.6 offensive rebounds per game and grabbed 17 offensive rebounds against Purdue earlier this month. Both Moreland and Collier have to be accounted for on every Oregon State shot attempt.
Team Defense
After struggling in the past to get stops the Beavers have been very solid defensively this season, holding their opponents to a 36.4% mark from the floor. They have been primarily a man to man defensive team this season but they’re also capable of running a 2-3 zone and an effective 1-3-1 zone with their great length.
Perimeter Shooting
This is a very skilled Oregon State team and they have shot the ball exceptionally well so far this season. While the Beavers only attempt 16 3pt shots per game, they are knocking down 36.3% of their long range attempts.

Weaknesses


Turnover Issues
The Beavers have very skilled basketball players but have struggled with turnovers. So far, through five games, they are averaging 15.8 turnovers per game and have an assist to turnover ratio of 0.96:1.
Free Throw Shooting
While Oregon State does a very good job getting to the line (23 free throw attempts per game), they have struggled to convert their attempts. On the year, the Beavers are knocking down just 66.1% of their attempts and have a free throw differential of +3.0.
Lack of Depth
The season ending injury to senior center Angus Brandt is a crippling blow to a team that was already lacking depth. This is a team that simply cannot afford any foul trouble or injuries.

Kansas Keys to the Game


Ball Pressure
The Kansas defenders must be very active in this game as the Beavers have struggled with turnover issues throughout the season. It’s especially important that the Jayhawk post defenders have active hands with the passing abilities of the Oregon State big men. Kansas has had great success this season at converting turnovers into easy points on the other end of the floor so if the Beavers turn the ball over more than 15 times it’s going to be very tough for them to win.
Clean the Glass
The Beavers have attacked the boards very hard this season, and are averaging 13.6 offensive rebounds per contest. The Jayhawks have struggled on the glass at times this season and only have a rebounding differential of +4.2, which ranks 6th in the Big 12 conference. Oregon State needs to convert 2nd chance points if they hope to pull off the upset and the Kansas guards need to support their post players on the glass.
Perimeter Shooting
I anticipate the Beavers starting in a man defense but playing more zone defense in this game than they have shown this season. Their lack of depth, their size in the frontcourt, and the Jayhawks struggles from beyond the arc make this a logical game plan. So far this season, Kansas has only knocked down 29.6% of their long range attempts and they will need to knock down a higher percentage in this contest. The Jayhawks must attack the paint off the dribble and have crisp ball movement regardless of the defense the Beavers are playing to create open perimeter looks.

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