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As we get moving in 2014 recruiting with a great visit weekend, I thought this was worth running down (excluding walk-ons and putting redshirts with their delayed class).
For remaining guys in 2013 and 2014 combined, that gives us 1 spot. McLemore's gone, so that's 2. I still assume 1-2 transfers from 2016 giving us 3-4. If we get Randle or Wiggins, it's really just a rental because we'll have that spot back in 2014. It sounds unlikely that Selden or any of the current 2017 guys are 1 year only.
Assuming 3-4 spots then in 2014, give me an elite PG (Jones?), 2 high end bigs, and the best available regardless of position (Winslow?).
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I would expect an elite PG is the top priority. Jones seems the most viable of the elite candidates, but I'd guess we end up going down a tier to a guy like Dom Collier or something when all is said and done.
I think another defensive-minded big will be on the radar, preferably one with legit size (6'9+). A guy like Elbert Robinson is probably going to be a safe bet if we can't land one of the uber-elites.
I would guess Self tries pretty hard to get a guy like Winslow that has the potential to be an elite wing defender a la Releford and Rush in years past.
I agree on all of those points. The interesting thing will be to see if Self shifts from his philosophy of playing two "bigs" all the time to playing more with a "stretch 4" given how much difficulty we've had at getting legitimate scholarship players of the > 6'8 variety.
Oh, and I think Wesley is still technically on scholarship for 2014, though that could be pulled any time obviously.
Jumping the gun on McLemore.
While I agree that this is likely the outcome, I wonder what the issue is with Self and staff being able to land an elite PG? Elite bigs and wings usually aren't an issue, but PG... can't do it for several years now.
One of the problems is that our expectations of most of our "lead" guards are that they put themselves on a lower priority level offensively than most of our other positions. Most seasons, our offense is tailored to the 2-4 positions, with some additional emphasis on the 5, and then the "lead" guard. Taylor was a bit of an exception to that, but really only his senior year, and even then, he wasn't about scoring so much as getting north and south and creating, he just also happened to be great at finishing in traffic and we happened to not be great at shooting on the wings or taking dump down passes at the 5 that season. We expect our lead guards to play exceptional one-on-one defense without a lot of help, and then facilitate an offense that doesn't really feature them scoring but instead features them throwing alley oops and finding wings open for threes. It's a large part of why I think Frank Mason is such an excellent fit (and a lot of "lead" guards found what is typically the 50-75 range in recruiting rankings most seasons) - he's going to play great on-ball defense, and he's going to push the ball north and south without forcing his own shot. Basically, he's exactly the opposite of Naadir Tharpe, who is a pretty good off-ball defender and a guy with a scoring mentality that requires him to have no conscience and chuck jumpers whenever he sees fit. You always want "elite" talents, so you have to chase guys like Jones when they seem to be available, and you have to be willing to tailor your offense a little to an exceptional player, but unlike talented wings and mobile bigs, I have no idea why an elite point guard would pick us really.
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