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It was just pointed out to me that it's entirely possible that the next two #1 NBA Draft picks will be in Allen Fieldhouse for tonight's game. Not sure how often that happens, but I can't think of it happening many times at Kansas...
If McLemore can repeat what he did saturday a couple more times and help the Jayhawks to a deep run in the NCAA's then I could see him being the #1 overall pick. If it's the same Ben that dissapperas on the road then I see a more aggressive player taking the #1 spot. But at the same time it all depends on who gets the #1 pick and what their needs are.
If Self werte able to sign Wiggins it would do so much for the image of Kansas nationwide... but realistically we have what, a 5% chance at best?
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McLemore is so intriguing at the top spot because he's the clear best prospect at a position that most NBA teams don't have high-level talent - shooting guard. There really just aren't that many great shooting guards in the NBA these days. It's a down year for the talent in the draft, without a clear #1 overall pick, so while it always depends on which team is picking, it's certainly possible McLemore will be the first pick. I think most teams would also prefer to see "Home Ben" show up in a few games away from AFH (neutral would be good enough, and he's been better in Sprint Center games than road games).
5% seems about right to me. I really think Randle is going to happen, but I just struggle to see Wiggins, despite recent info in our favor.
For what it's worth, Chad Ford at ESPN has him #1 on the Big Board and in his full breakdown of current lottery teams (linked) has Ben number one to Charlotte, Phoenix (with 2 spots thanks to Lakers trade), Minnesota, Detroit, and Portland. Smart has Orlando, Sacramento, New Orleans, and Toronto. Noel has Washington, Cleveland, Philadelphia, and Dallas.
As to the original post, I was thinking about Wiggins a bit as well and the impact he could have. Imagine if Lebron had gone to college somewhere. I'm not saying he's Lebron, but this is the most hype a HS player has had since him. We bitch about Durant's impact on Texas and Wiggins could be at that level. It nauseates me to think he could end up at UK or UNC. I'm rooting hard for FSU if we don't get him.
As for the percentages post, 5% is probably close to my view. It feels a little low (I would have said 8-10% without giving it much thought), but when you map it out, I'm not sure how I get above 5. FSU around 50%, UK around 30%, then 10% and 10% for us and UNC, maybe.
What are the chances for projected lottery teams to get the No. 1 pick?
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The Wiggins family is keeping this close to the vest. I am guessing that no one outside of the Wiggins family really knows what he will do. Anyone saying 5% chance of KU is no more right or wrong than one saying 50% chance of KU. But unless you have heard differently from Wiggins and/or his immediate family from what Wiggins claims, KU's chances are 1 in 4, or 25%.
You're right in theory, but in practice, when a kid shows no interest in a school until the fall of his last year of high school, it's extremely unlikely that he's going to develop the kinds of relationships with that staff he has spent years developing with other staffs. I know what you're saying, but it's not extremely likely that we're going to get Wiggins, and it's far more likely that he's going to FSU or UK.
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